The COVID Measure estimate in our models contains two datasets:

Future, this ratio for the number of future cases as a proportion of total cases provides an estimate of future Covid“19 risk for locations. A ratio value of 1 indicates there are estimated to be as many future cases to come in this location as there have been in total to date. A ratio of 0.1 indicates that future cases are estimated to be only 10% of cases seen so far. This measure provides an indication of how cautious a local area might need to be when considering relaxing lockdown conditions.

Death Ratio, the number of Covid deaths as a proportion of deaths from all causes.

Both models are regularly reviewed to ensure they contain the most up to date data and clinical findings.